The 50-Year Mortgage – Pros & Cons
QUESTION
I am the underwriting manager for a mid-sized regional lender. Recently, an investor asked us if we would be interested in originating 50-year mortgages. This mortgage loan has been in the news a lot recently because the president has been pushing it.
Yesterday, our loan committee met and decided to look into the pros and cons of 50-year mortgages. Next week, we have to present a report to senior management, and they will decide if it should be brought to the board for discussion.
I do not want to parrot the mortgage news. Some of this news media seems more interested in driving sales than in what might be good for borrowers or the risks to lenders. I am asking you to share your perspective with us. I know you do not mix words.
What are the pros and cons of 50-year mortgages for borrowers and lenders?
COMPLIANCE SOLUTION
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RESPONSE
The promoting of this loan product, such as it is, has been stirred up recently by the president's remarks and massive news coverage. In my opinion, the president is recommending a flawed loan that is detrimental to a consumer's long-term financial interests, and the news media, as usual, is chasing a shiny object that supposedly highlights sales over substance.
A 50-year residential mortgage is a home loan with a repayment period of 50 years (600 months!), significantly longer than the standard 30-year term. Its primary benefit is lower monthly payments, which can make homeownership more accessible. Fair enough! However, this comes at the cost of paying substantially more in total interest over the life of the loan, and it results in much slower equity accumulation.
I suppose that stretching the loan over a longer period reduces the monthly principal and interest payments. To that extent, it could help some first-time buyers qualify for a mortgage or afford a more expensive home. The term "affordability" has become quite a hobby horse these days, given that monthly payments could open up homeownership to more people, especially in expensive housing markets. Ultimately, it will not beneficially resolve the affordability issues that consumers face today.
But a 50-year mortgage seems like a form of indentured servitude. Over 50 years, the total amount of interest paid on the loan can be hundreds of thousands of dollars more compared to a 30-year mortgage. A central pillar of building equity in our society, home ownership, is seriously derailed because of slower equity growth. A much larger portion of early payments goes toward interest, meaning you accumulate equity much more slowly. It could take 30 years or more to build up significant equity, compared to about 12-13 years for a 30-year mortgage (excluding appreciation and down payment).
Plus, the interest rates are higher. Lenders will charge a higher interest rate on a 50-year mortgage to compensate for the increased risk of lending for a longer period. Thus, mortgage originations would tread into uncharted territory. This is a new product, and lenders may be uncertain about the long-term risks, which could impact its availability and cost.
Let's discuss these primary factors involved in 50-year mortgages:
· Feasibility
· Alternatives
· Legislative and Regulatory Changes
· Impact on the Housing Market
· Impact on the Economy
· Inflationary Risk
FEASIBILITY
The 50-year mortgage is currently an idea under consideration, not an approved policy. But ideas often have a way of working themselves somehow into politics and policies. I am skeptical that certain key issues can be disposed of through politically palatable, economically viable, and financially responsible policies, even by way of legal and regulatory compliance. I'll mention but a few that come to mind.
